Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.043709 0.051041 0.059105 0.068617 0.079513 0.091586 0.105960
2025-04-27 0.034356 0.044368 0.056401 0.071857 0.091108 0.114212 0.143951
2025-05-04 0.026089 0.036888 0.050933 0.070382 0.096427 0.129893 0.175900
2025-05-11 0.020670 0.031711 0.047121 0.069917 0.102436 0.146742 0.211160
2025-05-18 0.016316 0.026998 0.042908 0.067904 0.105643 0.159815 0.242563
2025-05-25 0.013208 0.023440 0.039616 0.066458 0.109111 0.173247 0.275583
2025-06-01 0.011182 0.021158 0.037805 0.066826 0.115089 0.190708 0.316075
2025-06-08 0.009226 0.018582 0.035037 0.065112 0.117346 0.202428 0.348644
2025-06-15 0.008397 0.017856 0.035264 0.068398 0.128107 0.228609 0.406618
2025-06-22 0.007263 0.016321 0.033774 0.068373 0.133058 0.245527 0.450740
2025-06-29 0.006117 0.014531 0.031503 0.066532 0.134436 0.256314 0.485219
2025-07-06 0.005259 0.013172 0.029841 0.065578 0.137240 0.269716 0.525271
2025-07-13 0.004892 0.012854 0.030291 0.068966 0.148879 0.300504 0.599946
2025-07-20 0.004487 0.012368 0.030316 0.071486 0.159111 0.329672 0.674330
2025-07-27 0.003819 0.011104 0.028425 0.069655 0.160295 0.341698 0.717486
2025-08-03 0.003329 0.010185 0.027164 0.069012 0.163840 0.358595 0.771436
2025-08-10 0.002830 0.009127 0.025392 0.066933 0.164010 0.368668 0.812684
2025-08-17 0.002437 0.008273 0.023972 0.065463 0.165309 0.381096 0.859631
2025-08-24 0.002181 0.007762 0.023339 0.065802 0.170728 0.402596 0.926958
2025-08-31 0.001877 0.007025 0.021976 0.064101 0.171155 0.413352 0.972472
2025-09-07 0.001791 0.006973 0.022490 0.067334 0.183766 0.451933 1.080755
2025-09-14 0.001602 0.006529 0.021817 0.067307 0.188360 0.472928 1.152201
2025-09-21 0.001383 0.005923 0.020557 0.065491 0.188238 0.483119 1.200392